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Archive date: 2023-05-15

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Deep learning is vast field that employs artificial neural networks to process data and train a machine learning model. Within deep learning, two learning approaches are used, supervised and unsupervised. This tutorial focuses on recurrent neural networks (RNN), which use supervised deep learning and sequential learning to develop a model. This deep learning technique is especially useful when handling time series data, as is used in this tutorial.

When creating any machine learning model, it's important to understand the data that you're analyzing so that you can use the most relevant model architecture. In this tutorial, the goal is to create a basic model that can predict a stock's value using daily Open, High, Low, and Close values. Because the stock market can be extremely volatile, there are many factors that can influence and contribute to a stock's value. This tutorial uses the following parameters for the stock data.

Open: The stock's price when the market opens.
High: The highest price at which a stock is trading during market hours.
Low: The lowest price at which a stock is trading during market hours.
Close: The stock's price when the market closes. This price is used by financial institutions as the value of a stock on a particular day because it takes into consideration all of the day's events and any fluctuations that might have occurred during the market.

The overall importance of the Close value and its use as a benchmark for a stock's daily value indicates that this value is the one to use in the prediction. To accomplish this, you can build a model that uses long short-term memory (LSTM), an RNN technique, to store and analyze larger sets of time series data.

This tutorial uses stock market data that is collected by IBM Watson and deployed on IBM Watson Studio on IBM Cloud Pak for Data.

Learning objectives

In the tutorial, you import a Jupyter Notebook that is written in Python into IBM Watson Studio on IBM Cloud Pak for Data, then run through the Notebook. The Notebook creates an RNN using PyTorch and uses stock market data from IBM Watson. After running the Notebook, you should understand the basics of how to build an RNN. You'll learn how to:

Run a Jupyter Notebook using Watson Studio on IBM Cloud Pak for Data
Build an RNN using PyTorch
Train and evaluate the model by performing validation and testing

Prerequisites

To follow this tutorial, you need:

An account on a cloud platform. This tutorial uses an IBM Cloud account.
IBM Cloud Pak for Data.

Estimated time

It should take you approximately 1 hour complete the tutorial.

Steps

Set up IBM Cloud Pak for Data.
Create a new project and import the Notebook.
Import the stock data CSV file to your newly imported Notebook.
Read through the Notebook.
Run the Notebook.

Set up IBM Cloud Pak for Data

Open a browser, and log in to IBM Cloud with your IBM Cloud credentials.
Enter Watson Studio in the search bar. If you already have an instance of Watson Studio, it should be visible. If so, select it. If not, click Watson Studio under the Catalog results to create a new service instance.
Select the type of plan to create if you are creating a new service instance, and click Create.
Click Get Started.

This takes you to the landing page for IBM Cloud Pak for Data.
Click your avatar in the upper right, then click Profile and settings under your name.
Switch to the Services tab. You should see the Watson Studio service instance listed under Your Cloud Pak for Data services.

You can also associate other services such as Watson Knowledge Catalog and Watson Machine Learning with your IBM Cloud Pak for Data account. These are listed under Try our available services.

In the example shown below, a Watson Knowledge Catalog service instance exists in the IBM Cloud account, so it's automatically associated with the IBM Cloud Pak for Data account. To add any other service (Watson Machine Learning in this example), click Add within the tile for the service under Try our available services.
Select the type of plan to create, and click Create.

After the service instance is created, you are returned to the IBM Cloud Pak for Data instance. You should see that the service is now associated with Your Cloud Pak for Data account.

Create a new project and import the Notebook

Import stock data CSV file

This tutorial uses a stock market data set from IBM Watson.

Your data should successfully be imported.

Note: Do not share the Notebook with the newly imported data. Each import contains a personalized and secure API key. Do not publish the notebook with the API key to any public version control systems (for example, GitHub). This compromises the security of your account because the Notebook contains sensitive keys that are unique to your account.

Read through the Notebook

Spend some time looking through the sections of the Notebook to get an overview. A Notebook is composed of text (markdown or headings) cells and code cells. The markdown cells provide comments on what the code is designed to do.

You run cells individually by highlighting each cell, then either click Run at the top of the Notebook or use the keyboard shortcut to run the cell (Shift + Enter, but this can vary based on the platform). While the cell is running, an asterisk ([*]) appears to the left of the cell. When that cell has finished running, a sequential number appears (for example, [17]).

code cells before running

Note: Some of the comments in the Notebook are directions for you to modify specific sections of the code. Perform any changes as indicated before running the cell.

The Notebook is divided into multiple sections.

Introduction to recurrent neural networks
Long short-term memory
Time series data
Understanding the data set
Using Pytorch
Code

The code section is where you can find the code pattern and RNN implementation.

Run the Notebook

Run the code cells in the Notebook starting with the cells in section 4. The first few cells bring in the required modules such as TensorFlow, Numpy, reader, and the data set.

The model's training, validation, and testing does not happen until the last code cell. Running all 5 epochs takes approximately 10 minutes.

train 5 epoch

Summary

In this tutorial, you learned about RNNs and ran an implementation on a Jupyter Notebook using a stock market data set that is collected by IBM Watson and deployed on IBM Watson Studio on IBM Cloud Pak for Data. Using Python libraries such as PyTorch, MatPlotLib, and NumPy were also key in creating the model.

Build a recurrent neural network using Pytorch

Build a recurrent neural network using Pytorch